The Clean Air Fund explains why we must bring together action on air pollution and climate change.
The ‘cobra effect’, is a concept dating to when British colonial rulers in India attempted a solution but instead made an existing problem worse. This is the trap governments face today by not addressing the interconnected problems of climate change and air pollution together.
Concerns about the growing number of cobras in Delhi led the government to offer a reward for every dead snake. This was successful to start with but backfired when entrepreneurial citizens started to breed cobras for the financial incentives they offered. When the government ended the bounty, breeders set these now worthless snakes free. The upshot: the cobra population increased rather than decreased.
The ‘cobra effect’ is reminiscent of the switch from petrol to diesel vehicles, incentivised by governments in pursuit of targets agreed at Kyoto in 1997. The move was aimed at reducing CO2 emissions.
Regardless of if this was achieved, it is indisputable that the measures resulted in increased nitrogen oxides (NOx), air pollutants that are toxic for humans. A more recent example of problem-solving which sets climate-harming emissions against health-harming emissions is the shift from fossil fuels to higher blends of biofuels (>15%) which can, in the end, increase emissions of NOx and volatile organic compounds (VOC).
The resulting higher uptake of biomass to replace natural gas and promote renewable energy has led to an increase in VOC, solid PM, and carbon monoxide (CO) decreasing urban air quality.
A new briefing paper, ‘Joined-up action on air pollution and climate change’, argues that governments need to pursue a much more integrated approach. Instead of tackling the complex issues of air pollution and climate change in parallel or at cross purposes, the Clean Air Fund argues that by adopting a more coordinated approach at every level, governments can save money, save lives, and cut carbon use.
Multiplier effect
As well as avoiding the ‘cobra effect’, the Clean Air Fund outlines how a joined-up approach can produce a kind of multiplier effect. Climate solutions that also deliver cleaner air offer a cheaper, faster and fairer way to achieve climate goals. Air pollution’s silent pandemic is causing 7 million premature deaths each year—action now can save many lives while accelerating climate change mitigation.1 In addition, there is significant potential for countries to deliver effective and inclusive air quality and climate solutions to create healthier, more resilient, and sustainable recovery pathways after Covid-19.
Harnessing the synergies between clean air and climate action could achieve:
Early adopters
There are already bright spots of good, joined-up practice with cities, countries and international organisations pursuing more coherent strategies in recent years.
The Clean Air Cities Declaration launched by C40 in 2019 with 35 city signatories, highlights the interconnectedness of air pollution with the climate challenge and the need for cities to integrate pollution-reducing actions into climate action plans.
Chile, Ghana, Mexico and Mongolia have explicitly adapted their climate change strategies to incorporate air quality goals—with programming that tackled both agendas together, and extensive coordination between relevant stakeholders.
In 2020, Mexico stepped up its commitment to tackling both climate change and air pollution with its new National Strategy to Reduce Short-Lived Climate Pollutants, which would reduce black carbon emissions by 53% in 2030, exceeding the target identified in their Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) in the Paris Agreement. It would also reduce total greenhouse gas emissions by 9% by 2030 primarily through methane emission reductions.
Ghana has also recognised the strategic importance of acting on air pollution and climate together. In 2020, it became the first country to include air pollution, in the form of black carbon, in its National Greenhouse Gas Inventory submitted to the UNFCCC. And in 2018, Ghana published a National Action Plan to Mitigate SLCPs which identifies measures to both improve air quality mitigate against climate change.
The European Union’s EC4MACS collaboration provides a useful model of joined-up analysis to support effective policy making. The EC4MACS toolkit helps to quantify the co-benefits of tackling air pollutants and greenhouse gases so member countries can prioritize their emission control strategy.
The model compares the level of emissions and other outcomes with that from existing regulations to inform the gap with the policy target set out by the EU. It is estimated that by adopting all feasible technologies to control both greenhouse gases and air pollution, the health benefits generated could range from €25–157 billion per year compared to maintenance costs of €28-40 billion per year. The EC4MACS has contributed to the policy proposal for the EU Energy and Climate Package, Roadmap for moving to a low-carbon economy in 2050.
Cost-benefit analysis of the EU incorporating air quality as a climate priority, estimation for 20302
As the EC4MACS example shows, capturing the co-benefits of air quality in cost-benefit analyses can support better decision making and higher returns.
Proposals for policymakers
The Clean Air Fund has added its voice to the growing call for a halt to new public investment in high carbon emitting and air polluting fossil fuels. Governments should fund a just transition to clean air solutions. That includes increasing support to low- and middle-income countries and focusing funding on the communities that need it most.
Other recommendations from the briefing paper include:
By building collaborative approaches that span siloes, borders and boundaries, governments may find they do not need to choose between harming health or harming the planet but can make progress on both.
This article first appeared in the November Air Quality News magazine, click here to view.